Man City are about to make the summer’s biggest mistake – here’s how Pep can limit the damage

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Manchester City kick the new Premier League season off against Wolves on Saturday with three new faces in Pep Guardiola’s starting XI.

Rayan Ait-Nouri, Tijjani Reijnders and Rayan Cherki are all likely to make their debuts for the Cityzens after completing moves worth a total of €125 million to the Etihad Stadium this summer.

But what will be most notable about City’s squad is who is not involved.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side are willing to double the England international’s wages to lure him to the City Ground in a move that promises to be a masterstroke from the rapidly improving Premier League club.

It could also be City’s biggest transfer disaster since allowing Cole Palmer to join Chelsea for just €47m in 2023.

Three reasons City have got this wrong

Selling too cheap
Lewis is their best right-back
He has best-in-the-world potential

Guardiola’s side are reportedly demanding a fee of over €35 million (£30m) for Lewis, who featured on 28 occasions for City in the Premier League last season, to leave for Forest.

This promises to be a catastrophic error of judgement. Lewis has an Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) of €70.7m – around twice as much as City want for him.

But it’s not just financially that the Manchester club are undervaluing him. Data analytics firm rated Lewis as among the best full-backs in the Premier League last season.

Rico Lewis vs Premier League full-backs: Overall performance (2024/25)

–+ Rico Lewis Name here age and club here

It’s not a position that City are blessed with quality in. Indeed, Matheus Nunes is likely to fill the role against Wolves, his former side, on Saturday. The central midfielder played the role at times last season with mixed impact.

Lewis is not only a natural in the right-back spot; he’s also got incredible potential.

The young City star has a higher ceiling than any other right-back in the world currently, according to SciSports. He has the potential to outdo Trent Alexander-Arnold, Jeremie Frimpong, Achraf Hakimi and anyone else you care to mention in the role.

Best potential right-backs in the world (SciSports)

Name
Club
SciSports Potential

Rico Lewis
Man City
129.4

Luca Hocker
Werder Bremen
128.4

Trent Alexander-Arnold
Real Madrid
127.3

Malo Gusto
Chelsea
127.3

Jeremie Frimpong
Liverpool
122.4

So what are they doing about it?

Since the Cole Palmer farce, when it quickly emerged that Guardiola had messed things up drastically, City have changed their transfer policy when it comes to selling young players.

They have consistently installed buy-back clauses when making sales like this – and they have shown they’re not afraid to use them. James Trafford, for example, had one such clause installed in his transfer when he moved to Burnley. City used this to beat Newcastle to sign the goalkeeper.

Should Lewis move to Nottingham Forest, it seems certain that another such agreement will be reached. Further insurance is likely to come in the form of a sell-on percentage of any future deal.

City will do their best to futureproof themselves over Lewis, but in the meantime will still face criticism over why they have allowed such a promising talent to depart so cheaply.

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